Bono on Jesus

Bono on Jesus

How to measure the success of a new IT system | Enterprise | Real World Computing | PC Pro

How to measure the success of a new IT system | Enterprise | Real World Computing | PC Pro:

'via Blog this'

Steve Jobs: How to live before you die | Video on TED.com

Steve Jobs: How to live before you die | Video on TED.com

In Depth: How Mac apps are transforming world sport - http://pulsene.ws/1aGWT

Opportunities on the cloud

The Man Behind Google Docs on Opportunities in the Cloud http://www.entrepreneur.com/article/219370

A quick review of the iPad 2

Is the iPad 2 Right for Your Business? http://www.entrepreneur.com/article/219385

Ubuntu or Kubuntu?

My netbook died last week. The ssd drive is not booting. Kaput.

I had been using it a lot beforehand, in spite of its dire hardware performance - to be fair, with only 512mb or RAM and a painfully slow 8mb ssd drive, I shouldn't expect much.
The reason why is Kubuntu.
I installed Kubuntu a few months ago as a fun experiment only to be utterly smitten by its Plasma interface. It is, to me, probably the easiest, most practical, cleanest, most stable, eye pleasing interface I have worked on. I just love it!

I don't think I will go back to Ubuntu/Gnome in the near future. Kde is, to my taste, miles ahead of Gnome, Windows 7, and it equals the OS.x interface in many aspects. I am also convinces that not-IT-literate users will find their way around it very quickly, and experienced Windows users will take to it in a beat.

So now I am missing my netbook. Terribly. If anybody wants to donate a drive for my Acer Aspire One, it will be much appreciated. In the meantime, I am using my phone (htc wildfire - Android 2.2) for most stuff (more about that in a later post).

Adventures in Netbook Land (3) – Bye bye XP

In my previous post Adventure in Netbook Land (1) and (2), I described my struggle to satisfactorily set up my Aspire One netbook for work and leisure. First it used the 'built-in' Linpus OS which I quickly discarded, and then installed Windows XP, which didn't go as smoothly as planed.

With a hard drive with barely 8 GB of space, one will run very quickly into trouble. I did.

Once more, I went through different steps to reduce the disk space usage, but I finally conceded that I needed to increase it. The most obvious thing would be to move all the personal documents/photos/music/videos to another drive, and reassign My Documents to the new drive. Fair enough. The only qualm I have with that, in my setting, is that there is a whole load of stuff hidden in my profile that is stored by Chrome, Firefox, and other programs, which is taking a lot of space.

The best solution I thought of was to actually move Users and Documents to another drive. It's not easy to do, as there's a lot involved within the OS, but it works. My second drive is a 8GB SD card inserted in the Storage Expansion slot.

On restart, I was very happy to see that my main hard disk had now ample space, and so had my second drive.

Yes, but.

Flashfire only seems to work on the main drive, and now a lot of the temporary stuff applications write to being on my second drive. And soon, performance degraded enough for me to decide to do away with Windows XP.

Some might say that by simply upgrading my RAM to 1GB and changing my SSD to a small ipod HDD would cure all my woes, but would miss the point. I don't want to upgrade, and I don't want to fiddle with the hardware.

So, it was bye bye XP and welcome Ubuntu.

Adventures in Netbook Land (2) – Installing Windows XP

As mentioned in my previous post Adventure in Netbook Land (1), my Aspire One netbook came with Linpus as OS.

At first glance, Acer's customized Linpus looks OK, very much like Ubuntu Netbook remit, except it has a green theme(like Mint). It seems to have the minimum amount of applications to get you started, and has the wonderful capability of detecting the SD card you insert in the slot, and automatically assigning it as extended disk space – very neat.

Yet it felt sluggish, somehow. Although optimized for the netbook (Cheese Webcam Booth included), and supposedly using little RAM compared to most OS, loading applications seemed slow. Furthermore, the default applications looked underwhelming in a strange way. Finally, I could not seem to find an easy way to update or upgrade applications, and in no small part caused by a lack of disk space (!). Tried to free some disk space but got really confused with the file system, the use of the SD card, etc.

My friend Jon lent me an external DVD drive and a pen drive with Ubuntu Netbook Remit. I still had a CD of Windows XP somewhere, so I decided to wipe my netbook clean and see what performance I would get from Windows XP.

Installation from CD went fine, albeit taking a while. Having worked with newer OS such as Ubuntu, OS.X, or Vista/Windows 7, I had forgotten how much time and user interaction XP needs. I must confess I am a little fussy about languages, Unicode, etc. that Windows throws in, and I go through the whole region/country/language customization process, checking every menu and screen so as not to get surprises later on.

None of the drivers are found/installed, so there is no sound, no network, basic 800x600 display, etc.

Fortunately, I had downloaded the drivers from Acer's web site and had them on a pen drive (USB works so-so). I copied them on the hard drive and installed them one by one starting with processor and bus, and ending with camera. Everything worked fine.

I had forgotten how little disk space XP first uses (before updates and 'extras' such as Net.2.0, etc. So I was happily surprised at first. I installed Chrome (I stopped using IE for many years for obvious reasons, and will never use it again, as there's absolutely no reason to do it, even the newer version) and was surfing the web OK.

Didn't last long though, performance got sluggish very quickly. After doing some investigation, I came to the conclusion that the problem was with the built-in SSD.

SSD are – overall – very fast, compared to mechanic disk drives. This reputation mainly comes from the fact that Read-access is way faster, enabling a SSD equiped laptop to start-up seemingly in seconds and load applications and documents in milliseconds compared to a laptop with even a 10,000 RPM disk drive. Now, most recent SSD models also boast decent write performances.

This is not the case with this netbook's 8.0 GB SSD. It is, in fact, a well known problems, and there are numerous blogs or help requests on the Internet about it. Of all the different tips and work-around to alleviate the issue, the best one I found was to install Flashfire (http://flashfire.org/xe/).

Flashfire web site describes it as a software for Solid-State Drives that host RAM to enhance random write performance of a SSD and is especially useful for the system using low-end SSDs. That very much explains what it is and how it works. And yes, it works. Very well.

With Flashfire, my netbook magically started to perform like a full blown laptop. I loved it.

Once more, this was to be short lived.

The first serious problem I had was with Windows Update. After an update that required a restart, my netbook kept crashing before I even managed to log in. As I investigated, I found out that the update could not finish its task on reboot because of Flashfire. Even when starting the XP in Safe Mode. After trying every trick I knew to no avail, I decided to reinstall Windows from scratch, apply ALL updates, install Flashfire, and turn the updates off. Once again, my netbook was working great.

Adventures in Netbook land (1)

For my birthday, the family gave me some money to buy a netbook. There were surprised frowns all over -- why would I want a netbook, and not a laptop? -- but everyone helped.

I went on ebay, and started a few days (weeks?) of intensive search.

It's amazing the number of adverts or sales posters for cheap out-of-China WinCE netbooks. I mean, come on! WinCE? Even smartphone manufacturers are moving away from WinCE. Why would anyone want such a netbook: crammed ram (256M), crammed space (1G), crammed apps, and no upgradability? Beats me, but there we are, ebay is full of them...

Between the HP, Asus, Acer, and other brands, I decided to go for the Acer Aspire One range: they've got decent hardware, lot of options, are upgradable, seem to go on for ever, and sell for a good price The thing is, all these netbooks sell like hot cake and I was constantly outbidded. Until I sneaked in to snap the netbook I now own.

I really like my Aspire One. I like its weight and size, the keyboard feel, the fact that it's got all those ports, that the display is very good, the sound is OK, and the webcam is fine.

I didn't like the OS it came with - Linpus - even if it was very fast and did a cool thing with SD card (automatically extend the system disk space by inserting the SD card).

So I decided to work on finding a nice OS for my nice little Netbook

Hackers target Windows-based phones | IT PRO

Hackers target Windows-based phones | IT PRO

Just goes to show that it is NOT a question of market share. Microsoft trails Nokia, RIM (Blackberry) and Apple by a huge margin.

Adobe admits critical Flash flaw | IT PRO

Adobe admits critical Flash flaw | IT PRO

Finally! Although I don't see lots of magazines and newspapers publicizing the news. Bias? You bet.

Adobe's losing battle

To be honest I never have been a Flash fan (and not really a Java-on-Windows fan either). The reasons are the same as most people who dislike it: performance, resource hog, not really great quality, 'lazy' applications, etc.

Over the years, I have seen many sites go from no-flash to flash back to no-flash. Once the novelty of the little kind-of-app-with-fancy-graphics wears off, users who are left with having to wait for ever for a page to load, or having the browser give up the ghost, or wanting to go straight to the point, end up frustrated.

The world of browsers, spurred on by Safari's and Chrome's webkit engine performance has increased its speed by leaps and bounds. Firefox is staying close to these two with the latest Gekko updates, and IE - the snail of browsers (still today) - is doing its best to be fast...

Web sites that do NOT use flash, have extremely fast load times, even with complicated CSS and java script usage. But not so with flash.

In the world of mobiles, it's obvious, Flash is NOWHERE to be seen (well, there is Flash Lite for some - rare - smart-phones, but the truth is that it is OLD flash, and it is still a hog).

Flash's problem is that it is completely proprietary. The player is proprietary, and the tools are proprietary. The content is not, of course, hence the reason why programmer will say it is not, and they will show Flash specifications to confirm it. But the truth is, Flash is proprietary. Adobe rules supreme over the present and future of Flash, its players, and its tools.

I understand Adobe's position. They make A LOT of money from Flash, even if the player is free. Until HTML 5 came along, Flash was the de-facto standard for feature 'rich' web content ('rich' is a term that Microsoft - mainly Bill Gates - coined and used for anything and everything the company made, and is now used everywhere to mean anything from 'not character based', to 'whooping 3D with surround sound and mouse gesture word processor').

The truth is, the Web doesn't NEED flash. It may look convenient, but its convenience made for lazy programming and lazy design. I mean: how many times has an awarded web site been a heavy user of Flash? The technology itself may have been OK in a PC-centric world, but its proprietary nature, its poor resulting applications (let's be honest, in the main, Flash applications are not THAT great, are they?), and its performance is a NO-GO in a mobile-centric world.

Hence the aggressive PR battle that Adobe is forging against Apple, the convenient scapegoat to gloss over the inadequacies and lies of Flash.

The fact is, the main programmers of Flash applications are Windows guys. The Linux world hardly uses Flash, Mac users hate it, and it is quasi non-existent in the mobile world. However, this is not advertised by Adobe or their Flash proponents (who make a comfortable living from making applications with it).

Real programmers (sorry to the others), designers of elegant and performing web sites, don't use Flash, and are looking at HTML 5 specifications with a lot of interest. And so are CEOs, CIOs, CFOs, CTOs, COOs, who see where the shift in consumer usage is going: Smart phones, very portable computers (desktop computer purchase is now lagging behind laptops and netbooks by a significant margin), mobile activity. And they are moving their web sites to no-flash content in increasing measure.

The snowball is gathering momentum.

As every passes Flash is losing ground.

Adobe is losing its battle. Bye bye Flash. And good riddance.

Back online

It's strange to think that I haven't blogged for more than a year. One the one hand, I just didn't feel like it really mattered - even to me - and on the other hand I needed to refocus on family and personal matters.

I was reading my previous blog entries from last year, and especially the predictions - now at least a year and a half old. Although they were intended to cover a 2 to 3 years time frame - not yet passed - a few excerpts made me smile by how off they were but more often than not how accurate they were already. You be the judges.

There is no denying that in these few months, Apple has reshaped the mobile phone industry, has consolidated the iTunes position as music retailer, and has been pulling the whole PC industry upwards in its wake. Most investors expect the company to be at least as rich and powerful as Microsoft is today, in less than a year. Impressive.

In September last year, a company I was working for decided to bypass my recommendations and opted instead to tie themselves up further with Microsoft, spending a few dozens of thousands of pounds on hardware and licenses - which, in truth, are sold at bargain prices to charities. Although it was an enormous blow for my confidence and self worth - after so many years consulting - I am beginning to feel vindicated by the ever increasing number of organizations - some as big as 35,000 users - moving to Google Apps. We are talking about companies or institutions that are headed by very cautious high calibre executives:

http://www.vnetpros.com/content/?/vnet/blog/new_mexico_state_attorney_generals_office_goes_google/

http://www.cio.com/article/print/494752

http://seo9oneone.com/johnsondiversey-migrating-12000-users-from-lotus-notes-domino-to-google-apps-in-48-hours/

http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSTRE59B3M820091012?sp=true

http://www.itbusinessedge.com/cm/blogs/all/google-apps-gets-big-new-customer/?cs=32600

http://rootswire.org/content/denish-proposes-switch-google-apps

http://www.computerworld.com/s/article/print/9138089/Will_government_gig_put_Google_ahead_of_Microsoft_in_cloud_race_?taxonomyName=Cloud+Computing&taxonomyId=65

http://docs.google.com/fileview?id=0B5AOHQcS-cAeNjQ5NDAzMjUtYzVjOS00OGRjLTgwMzQtZjUyZDkyYzU0MzIy&hl=en

In the midst of the heartache, I was consoled somewhat by finding it out that the aforementioned organization has since moved a very restrictive database application to a solution 'in the cloud', which enables sharing, gives better data integrity and up to date information. This was something I had been advocating for a while.

Finally, a note on the whole Windows 7/ Linux thing. The more I use Open Source, the more I am impressed by the breadth, depth, and innovation pace, of the applications.

• The newest version of Evolution is so stable, it's a joy to use, and it compares well with Outlook.
• OpenErp is just incredible; not only it's free, but it is so complete as an erp/crm/finance/hr solution. Its client is java-based so OS agnostic. Just outstanding
• LMMS is now a truly great midi studio and sequencer.
• OpenOffice is also starting to concentrate on performance as well as features and versions 3.x are very good (OxygenOffice is its best incarnation)
• uBuntu is now remarkable. Although the beta version of Karmic Koala has understandable kinks, it is so good already that I now loathe using XP or Vista (except for using Chrome). You should try it from within Windows - using wubi.

Whatever Microsoft is trying to impress upon the public with Windows 7 is already available on Linux. Even games play nicely with Wines!

The promising technology of the moment is wifi direct, who will compete with - and probably supplant - Bluetooth.

802.11.n is now ratified. Expect it to become the de-facto for all wifi networks. Price will go down. That's great news.

Apple's MiniDisplay port has now been officially adopted by VESA, so expect DVI/miniDVI ports to be phased out. it's good for video output.

Any thought?

The Mac in the Gray Flannel Suit (4)

In the last post, I was talking about what I believe the next 3 to 5 years will have in store for us - business-wise. I talked about what I think is the start of the iPhone phenomenon in the entreprise. I then talked about dramatic changes in the server world, with Microsoft buying Zimbra, Ubuntu becoming the n.1 name in Linux, OS.X server getting through by the main door, and Google Apps/Zoho getting a substantial size of the SME market. In the third post I mentioned about the standard desktop PC falling to sub £299.

In this post, I will resume by talking about technology


Technology

1. There will be a huge fight between Facebook, Google, MySpace, Linkedin, to get into the entreprise with Facebook starting with a slight advantage. I am not sure who will the winner be after a while, as we might see consolidation and strong partnership developing, although I believe that Google's Open Standard for Social Network will position them extremely favourably.
2. SME's will EMBRACE Social Networking as the new means of collaboration (Facebook has already chat and document sharing capabilities) as it allows them to communicate much more efficiently than email - with strong selling points placed on malware protection, spam elimination, inviting ONLY your 'friends' and partners, etc.
3. Changes in the Wi-Fi/Wi-Max world will impact the telephony operators, mainly them looking for ways to beef up their 3G performance (4G?) to keep up with the connectivity demands of their customer (Internet access, social networking, video chat, etc.). Prices shouldn't necessarily come down (at least at the low end), but customers will get more for what they pay today (although the need for bandwidth and extras will level that out)...

Basically, social networking will evolve and we will see some market consolidations, but the concept and technology is here to stay. The need for privacy and security in the face of spam, viruses, and malware, will push many companies to use the 'intranet/extranet' paradigm of working. SMTP will continue as a transport mechanism although other protocols will run alongside it.

What it means, is that tomorrow giants will be Google (Orkut - currently number 1 worldwide), Facebook, Linkedin, etc, although large corporations will use their own flavour - possibly based on Open Source components - of Social Network. In this scenario, and providing Microsoft doesn't eventually buy them, Yahoo could have a few cards up their sleeve.

To conclude the series, I forecast very exciting coming years in the ICT world, where the shift that is starting right now - from desktop to cloud - will gain momentum and reshape the landscape.

If you want to talk financial:

• Cisco and Juniper are safe. We will always need what they sell. They have reached a critical mass like GE, which will always be there
• IBM, Apple, HP will be there. Each for its own set of reasons, but mainly they all have in common the fact that they are diversified, 'own' a lot of their end products (software, hardware, design, patents, etc.), have ahead thinking plans and simple delivery process, and create healthy ands faithful ecosystems around them
• Dell needs to depend less on Microsoft and get back to sell solid systems with great support if they want to survive. I think that selling Linux servers with a good margin is imperative to compete in the cut-throat area of cheap PCs/laptops
• Microsoft should never be written off, but the departure of Bill Gates has opened a psychological void. Whatever is thought of Bill Gates, he WAS the face of Microsoft, and when he spoke, people listened. Now that he is gone, there has been a worldwide shift about Microsoft perception. If Microsoft doesn't do something about its licensing issues, about a revamp of Exchange, about a less-hungry/less-bloated Operating System, we will see HUGE moves away to the Apple/Linux/Open Source camp. I expect the Vista/Office downard slide to continue and anticipate flat or negative quarters at least for another year.
• The mobile operators with the best ratio of network coverage/network performance/data price/contract attractiveness will gain dramatically. In the long term, I envisage (in the UK) 3/Vodaphone to struggle, O2/Orange to do very well, and T-Mobile to stay flat.
• The new kids on the block (although Google is hardly a new kid, but in the Social Networking it could be thought as one) are pulling all the stops. Which one, out of MySpace, Bebo, Friendster, Linkedin, Gaia, DeviantArt will eat the other one, or be eaten, or just go out of business? One thing is sure, Google/Orkut is going up, and Yahoo is going up. Linked is most probably going up.

What do you think?

The Mac in the Gray Flannel Suit (3)

In the last post, I was talking about what I believe the next 3 to 5 years will have in store for us - business-wise. I talked about what I think is the start of the iPhone phenomenon in the entreprise. I then talked about dramatic changes in the server world, with Microsoft buying Zimbra, Ubuntu becoming the n.1 name in Linux, OS.X server getting through by the main door, and Google Apps/Zoho getting a substantial size of the SME market.

In this post, I will resume by talking about the Desktop world


Desktop world

1. Companies like IBM, Sun, SalesForce, SAP, Cisco, etc. will come up in the next 2 years with an update to their products that will be Mac-as-on-PC and Linux-as-on-Windows compatible. They will make a BIG deal of it.
2. We will hear of big moves from XP to Mac or XP to Linux, this time not only limited to government agencies or charities, but also from reputable companies. Some moves will be triggered by a change of server technology (Apple Xserve, Linux), move of application technology to platform 'independent'(MsSQL to Oracle/MySQL,ProgresQL/etc) making dependance on Microsoft OS less attractive.
3. We will see a significant increase of sub-£299 laptop and sub-£200 desktop in the low end. They will mainly be running Linux or a streamlined (customized?) version of XP

The shift has already started: lBM has a large Mac platform pilot, Salesforce is moving to Macs, the eePC pioneered a sub-£299 PC/laptop concept that is now being followed by other manufacturers, etc.

What this means in the long term, is that Microsoft's vaporware Windows 7 has to take this trend into account in its design. If they want to sell at least as many copies of Windows 7 as Vista, they might have to delay its release until its specifications are slimmed down. It also mean that the couple AMD/ATI have better chances to greater market share than today, although the overall outlook would be for thinner margins - including for PC manufacturers.

I also see companies being prepared to partly subsidize a cheap laptop to their roaming employees, instead of purchasing a more expensive one that would be depreciated over 3 years.

In the next post, we will look at technology in general...

What do you think?

The Mac in the Gray Flannel Suit (2)

In the last post, I was talking about what I believe the next 3 to 5 years will have in store for us - business-wise. I talked about what I think is the start of the iPhone phenomenon in the entreprise.

In this post, I will resume by talking about the Server world.

Server world

1. Leopard server being Apple's first really serious alternative to Microsoft servers (SBS, or other), the next release of OS.X server  - perhaps released by the end of this year, but most probably some time in 2009 - will be aggressively positioned to conquer the entreprise by offering: greater integration of PC's into Open Directory, native or quasi native support for Outlook client (mail AND calendar), entreprise-level Time-Machine backup facility, easy access to groupware from Windows Mobile, web access to personal calendar, entreprise management of iPhones, etc
   
2. Ubuntu will gain such a momentum that it will soon climb up the Linux ranks  to become the de-facto Linux distribution (like it did with the desktop). Ubuntu's partnership with Dell will help Dell's server systems switch from Windows to Linux in a significant measure, and gain interesting market share (HP should follow suit)
   
3. Microsoft might buy Zimbra, as it is today the biggest threat to their Exchange supremacy. They might use the Zimbra client to incorporate it into their next version of Windows as the default email client, and tightly integrate it to their Microsoft Live offering. Zimbra server technology will help them rebuild Exchange from scratch, getting rid of their database paradigm that is so penalizing to Exchange performance, and changing the licensing scheme to be more on par with the the rest of the industry prices. Microsoft will stop development of Zimbra to platforms other than Windows, quoting "a focusing of resources", etc
   
4. Google Apps for Business and Zoho will gain a lot more interest from SMEs to the point of causing real disruption to the business app manufacturers, with MsOffice starting to see significant slide in profit, and servers shifting from internal resource to outsourced
   

It is generally agreed that customers are getting really unhappy with Microsoft licensing schemes. Even a 'simple' product like SBS - which a small business may be interested in - usually comes with 5 user-licenses only, pushing the customer to purchase additional license for every new user/PC, to the limit of 75 users; at this point the organization has to migrate to full versions of Server 2X + Exchange 2X + Sharepoint 2X + SQL Server 2X, with all its issues added to the dangers of integration, of having multiple servers, etc.

I believe that the increase of iPhone and Mac sales in the entreprise - as witnessed recently and well documented - will get many CIOs and senior executive to ask their IT department to look at Apple server. I think that the decision makers out there will be more interested than ever in the real ROI, cost saving per user, and growth capability. Hardened Windows-only ICT Managers will find it harder and harder to defend their 'cheaper administration, cheaper administrative staff' stance, as a couple of Xservers can easily replace two or three Windows server in performance and scalability, for a drastically lower cost.

The rise of Ubuntu is a given. Whether the distribution is better or worse than other more established names is quite irrelevant here. Ubuntu is the name that is irresistibly growing. On the net - except for paid search - it comes first in Linux search, and also Linux server. For the anti-Mac clan, Ubuntu will be a credible alternative. I expect the company to come up with significant partnerships and announcements that will see it get even more positive publicity than today. Dell is already a partner and will be eager to expand its range into the server market for a very compelling price while keeping good margins. Dell only need a couple of high profile sales to see interest in its Ubuntu offering grow significantly.

Although all the talk is on Microsoft mesh, Live, and other on-line acronyms, Exchange/Sharepoint and Office are his bread and butter business. I concede that Microsoft buying Zimbra may be hard to believe for some, but I think that would be a smart move on their part: Zimbra has now a substantial user-base, it has a first class AJAX client - that Microsoft staff like, as disclosed in other blogs earlier on - and has a very modular architecture (zimlets); the server communicates with Outlook, has hooks for VOIP, is very fast and scalable, can be hosted, and is taking business away from Exchange. In truth, Exchange cannot really compete with Zimbra, because it is a dog to run, has a so and so management tool set, and Zimbra has an incredibly talented and forward thinking team of designers and programmers. It's a no-brainer.

Google Apps for businesses is a very nice product. You can assign your domain name to it, you can manage groups, users, email addresses, sharing, and other useful things using an easy interface, from anywhere in the world. Your users can use the built-in word processor, spreadsheet, and presentation applications, and save them in multiple formats (PDF included), or you can use your company's applications (MsWord, OpenOffice, iWorks, etc.). You can create a customized 'portal', multiple group calendars, and a chat network. An you are not platform limited; you can enter data from IE7 on a tablet-PC, modify a document from a Safari on a Mac or Firefox on a Linux PC. I think that it has all the functionalities that 75% of people will ever use. The tipping point will be when third party developers or Open Source programmers will start using Google Gear and the APIs to get their applications to integrate with Google Apps in a big way. I see this happening within the next 2 years, under the impulse of an aggressive Google. A typical small businesses only has to look after a gateway device (with DHCP), a cheap firewall, a good broadband SLA, and a few cheap PCs to get, and keep, going. The savings are impressive, and for disaster recovery you can keep going from anywhere!

In the next post, we will look at the Desktop arena...

What do you think?

The Mac in the Gray Flannel Suit

This article from business week was the catalyst for a brainwave. When I read this great piece, I was struck at how accurate my uptakes on the next 2 years were, when I made them to my manager sometime in September/October 2006. I made other comments at the time, which were not covered by the magazine cover story, but were just as close to how things turned out. The conversations I had at the time were in the light of where I saw the market going to.

After reading the article I sat down to write a quick email containing quick 15 predictions of the market in the next 3 to 5 years and forwarded it to some selected friends and colleagues.

I decided to copy them into this blog. Although my predictions were written in no specific order at first, I had to organize them into superficial and subjective categories for readability sake, and although I discovered afterwards that I had about 5 more points to jog down, I decided not to write them after all - at least in the short term - to stay as close as possible to the email content.

The iPhone

1. The iPhone 2.0 is coming out in June, perhaps with 3G straight away or maybe later this year, and within a few weeks/months, 'serious' business software will appear for it
2. We'll hear of large companies using the iPhone for business critical applications this year
3. RIM's blackberry will certainly struggle and have its shares down quite substantially over a period of time
4. Microsoft's Windows Mobile will also struggle in the higher end phones, as it won't offer anything comparable or better than the iPhone. They might keep it alive for a few years through their largest corporate accounts, but may pull out of it in the next 5 years
5. Sony/Erikson, Nokia, and others will rush to get Symbian phones and/or Linux/Android phones to match the iPhone capabilities but will have first generation problems (performance, bugs, etc.) and may end up concentrating on the already saturated low end by offering much higher specs phones for the same price to get people to switch. However within 2 years, they should have ironed the kinks of higher end phones and could offer an alternative to the iPhone. The rate of this change will depend, of course, on whether Apple decide to stick to their one operator per country policy, and not allow operators to subsidize the iPhone
   

Yep! I definitely believe that the iPhone 'second generation' will take the business world by storm - and I'm not even talking about the consumer market where end-users will crave for the games and cool software applications that are going to be made available - as the device will gain the respectability status it only had implicitly. The mixture of the iPhone controlled environment, classy graphics, corporate email management, storage size, and applications, will become too strong a pull for most businesses to resist. Here is a phone/PDA running an OS with free updates, which none of the competitors can properly offer.

next post will discuss the Server world...

What do you think?

     

Gadget or useful PC?

On Monday I went to PC World in Meadowhall to show a friend the range of end-user laptops or desktops that are out there in main retailers. We ended up purchasing a power supply, which I diagnosed as dead and was the reason why my friend's desktop PC was not working. We also asked PC World staff to swap the power supplies for us, which they did for a good price. In the end, my friend didn't leave with a new PC, but went away happy, after getting his old desktop PC back from the dead for a mere £79.

While the PC was being repaired, I went back to the laptop section to have a look at the Asus eePC, that so many magazines write about.

These are my impressions and comment.

The first thing one notices about the eePC is its size, of course. Its screen size is only 7" diagonal, which makes you instantly think that you will not be able to see anything.


Display

Contrary to the first impression, the display is good. For sure, you cannot work on the eePC at full arm length, but in a standard position, reading what is on the screen is fine. I created a spreadsheet document to enter figures and found the display pleasant. It 'only' has a resolution of 800x600, which may, from what I've read in posts around the web, be a problem with long and windy dialog boxes, although I also read that there are key combinations that allow you to view them anyway. Personally, I liked the display.


Interface

Having extended experience of Ubuntu and having tested gOS for a while, I am used to non-Windows-looking interfaces. The eePC's custom Linux GUI is intuitive and pleasant. When you boot the machine, you are shown a 'desktop' with tabs: Internet, Word, Media, Games (if I remember correctly). Each tab's window has nicely arranged icons representing applications (Eg. Email, documents, spreadsheets, etc.). As in Ubuntu, small icons at the top of the screen will display status of services such as Network/Wifi, Time, etc. All in all, very intuitive and easy to use for first time computer user, Windows-specialists, Mac-enthusiasts, or Linux-experienced.


Keyboard

There's no doubt about it, it's small. For one, it's no way as small as smartphone keyboard. And second, it is surprisingly easy to type with, even for someone with big ad short fingers like me. At first I got the usual wrong characters in, but after a few minutes, I could type quite fast and precisely. Pressing the keys feel fine, a little like the keys on the iMac's older keyboards. All in all, it was like working with a laptop - albeit a small one...


Responsiveness

I thought that the performances were good. I plugged in my 4gb pen drive and went through the file manager to find an Excel and a Word documents, to check the OpenOffice implementation. The file manager saw my pen drive very quickly, and one I clicked on the files, OpenOffice started in seconds. And that's only on a 512mb of RAM machine! I poked around the machine, opened a host of applications (after closing others), and was pleasantly surprised by the performance of the eePC.


Other

• The eePC is light, really light. You can hold it in one hand and move it around. That's a real bonus
• The eePC has a built-in camera. Didn't test it, but it should prove very useful for iChat-type of communication
• I could see 2 USB ports, which is good. I also saw a SD card reader, and an Internet port

Conclusion

Even though I didn't test the eePC at length (lucky journalist who can do that for a living), the time I spent with it was enough to convince me that it is a useful PC, and not a gadget. I just read this morning that HP are entering the market with their own lightweight model, which goes on to show that Asus got it right when they ventured in this direction. I will personally recommend this product to people who don't have a PC and want to go on the net, students who need to research and take notes on the go, and companies who want to offer easy-to-use laptops to their staff. For £299, you cannot go really wrong.

Ironing the Mac kinks

In an earlier post, I mentioned about two issues that were real show stoppers for objectively giving my seal of approval to the Mac platform as a full member of our current Windows 2003 domain.

Although I believe moving from today's setting to a Leopard (or later) Open Directory domain in the future will be of the utmost benefit - at least in license cost and network stability - the fact is that today we are using Windows server technology.

We have two heavy-duty Infotec printers that do not have a postscript interpreter module. The Windows driver allows a user to enter a department code that allows printing and bills the department. I couldn't find such driver for non-windows systems.
Yesterday I installed a ppd file, and some 'utilities' (I wll name it like that for the sake of speed). I modified the ppd file by hand to enter my codes. I did a test print, and was so excited when I picked up the page from the printer. Leopard IS amazing!

The other problem I had was with Excel spreadsheets that are important to us, as they contains complex formulas to do some of our finance control. Each department enters its data, and the calculations need to be precise.

Each time I opened one the spreadsheet in OpenOffice or NeoOffice, I get an error on some of the formulas. For a long time, I thought it was a bug. That was until I read the details of the latest release of OO and found that it now completely read Excel macros (prior to Office 2003?). So I decided to investigate. It took me a long time to realize that Excel accepted a sun over 2 colums in an erroneous array in its SUMIF function, where OO correctly singled out the error (although the message was a cryptic ERR:504). As soon as I changed the formula to perform its sum over 1 column only, all the resulting formulas calculated as they should. Magic!

So here we are. The only last hurdle is the ability to run Sage in Wine/Darwine. Has anybody made it work?